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Red417
2039122.9
1792152.5
1675156.9
Blue270
6624115.0
537108.8
279140.1
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions320278100150200250300350400450417270

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1675
#20
156.91.4
137.4138.9
Auto18.9
Teleop115.1
End22.4
red by 16.8
279
#14
140.11.0
129.1130.2
Auto18.6
Teleop106.5
End13.0
Second
152.50.9
134.5135.4
Auto21.9
Teleop114.9
End19.1
red by 37.5
6624
#53
115.015.6
78.694.1
Auto16.7
Teleop84.7
End12.9
Third
2039
#35
122.97.1
99.8106.9
Auto16.6
Teleop89.0
End14.1
red by 14.0
537
#54
108.87.2
93.3100.5
Auto14.4
Teleop81.5
End14.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
35%Auto Quest oddsMissed27%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed