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Qual 122018 Wisconsin Regional
Red207
2574123.5
63166.4
6670107.9
Blue307
4804110.1
2481212.9
3081117.1
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2203580100300400500600700207307

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63
#10
166.43.4
143.6→147.0
Auto18.2
Teleop121.0
End30.0
blue by 46.5
2481
#4
212.90.6
199.8→200.4
Auto24.2
Teleop168.8
End20.7
Second
2574
#52
123.58.4
104.2→112.5
Auto16.1
Teleop90.7
End16.9
red by 6.4
3081
#31
117.110.5
94.1→104.7
Auto14.0
Teleop91.5
End14.9
Third
6670
#41
107.99.8
83.0→92.8
Auto15.0
Teleop86.4
End10.4
blue by 2.3
4804
#50
110.18.0
88.9→96.9
Auto15.8
Teleop86.1
End9.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsMissed31%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed