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Qual 112018 Wisconsin Regional
Red330
3381128.1
93166.4
6223105.5
Blue352
323145.8
2077129.0
1781130.3
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions290300200250350400330352

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
93
#16
166.42.1
150.3→152.3
Auto19.6
Teleop124.4
End26.6
red by 20.6
323
#9
145.81.0
131.0→132.0
Auto19.6
Teleop111.5
End14.1
Second
3381
#37
128.111.3
96.8→108.1
Auto18.4
Teleop99.6
End9.1
blue by 2.2
1781
#22
130.36.7
98.6→105.4
Auto18.6
Teleop96.9
End15.2
Third
6223
#42
105.59.6
81.3→90.9
Auto14.3
Teleop81.0
End8.7
blue by 23.5
2077
#43
129.010.5
106.0→116.5
Auto17.6
Teleop91.9
End17.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest oddsEarned26%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed