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Qual 102018 Wisconsin Regional
Red172
5148128.6
5586110.1
4786151.8
Blue392
6421131.3
3130166.4
2202170.2
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2713500100200300400500600172392

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4786
#15
151.80.2
141.7→141.5
Auto19.6
Teleop114.1
End17.2
blue by 18.5
2202
#3
170.20.3
157.2→156.8
Auto18.9
Teleop122.9
End32.9
Second
5148
#40
128.611.8
97.0→108.8
Auto15.5
Teleop97.5
End14.2
blue by 37.8
3130
#2
166.40.7
153.8→154.5
Auto21.0
Teleop124.8
End21.0
Third
5586
#46
110.110.7
89.9→100.5
Auto16.5
Teleop87.3
End3.0
blue by 21.3
6421
#32
131.38.3
100.8→109.2
Auto14.8
Teleop102.2
End12.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
44%Auto Quest oddsMissed51%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed