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Red136
1714122.1
3418136.4
930146.9
Blue446
1732159.2
1259188.9
269144.7
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2713800100200500600700136446

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
930
#28
146.914.0
93.2107.1
Auto18.7
Teleop109.2
End16.5
blue by 41.9
188.92.9
170.8173.7
Auto22.0
Teleop138.4
End29.2
Second
3418
#24
136.413.5
97.5111.0
Auto18.7
Teleop102.5
End14.5
blue by 22.7
1732
#23
159.21.5
153.8155.3
Auto24.6
Teleop116.3
End17.7
Third
1714
#49
122.113.9
93.8107.7
Auto16.7
Teleop91.1
End13.8
blue by 22.6
269
#11
144.714.6
86.9101.6
Auto18.4
Teleop105.7
End20.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
38%Auto Quest oddsMissed82%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed9%Face the Boss oddsEarned