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Qual 272018 Wisconsin Regional
Red414
2039122.9
2202170.2
4786151.8
Blue95
269144.7
6223105.5
1716108.5
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions351270010020030040050060041495

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2202
#3
170.20.8
156.8→157.6
Auto18.9
Teleop122.9
End32.9
red by 25.6
269
#11
144.710.6
113.9→124.5
Auto18.4
Teleop105.7
End20.8
Second
4786
#15
151.80.4
140.9→141.3
Auto19.6
Teleop114.1
End17.2
red by 43.3
1716
#39
108.511.3
93.9→105.2
Auto12.3
Teleop81.7
End18.1
Third
2039
#35
122.97.8
106.9→114.7
Auto16.6
Teleop89.0
End14.1
red by 17.4
6223
#42
105.58.0
90.9→98.9
Auto14.3
Teleop81.0
End8.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
35%Auto Quest oddsEarned51%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed