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Qual 282018 Wisconsin Regional
Red201
279140.1
5976142.2
247097.6
Blue326
5586110.1
1259188.9
3596118.8
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2403680100200300500600700201326

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5976
#12
142.26.1
126.1→132.1
Auto21.7
Teleop106.5
End15.6
blue by 46.7
1259
#1
188.92.2
177.2→179.3
Auto22.0
Teleop138.4
End29.2
Second
279
#14
140.11.2
131.4→132.7
Auto18.6
Teleop106.5
End13.0
red by 21.2
3596
#19
118.88.8
99.8→108.7
Auto17.4
Teleop93.8
End7.4
Third
2470
#44
97.63.2
88.5→91.7
Auto17.0
Teleop70.1
End10.0
blue by 12.5
5586
#46
110.15.8
100.5→106.3
Auto16.5
Teleop87.3
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
32%Auto Quest oddsEarned59%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed12%Face the Boss oddsMissed