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Qual 32018 Wisconsin Regional
Red367
4247125.8
2481212.9
2830132.7
Blue230
2506114.5
3381128.1
1792152.5
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3832030100300500600367230

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2481
#4
212.91.1
198.7→199.8
Auto24.2
Teleop168.8
End20.7
red by 60.4
1792
#6
152.50.7
133.8→134.5
Auto21.9
Teleop114.9
End19.1
Second
2830
#26
132.714.1
92.0→106.1
Auto15.6
Teleop109.9
End9.3
red by 4.6
3381
#37
128.115.2
81.6→96.8
Auto18.4
Teleop99.6
End9.1
Third
4247
#17
125.816.4
71.0→87.4
Auto15.6
Teleop99.0
End15.2
red by 11.4
2506
#48
114.516.0
74.3→90.3
Auto16.0
Teleop87.1
End11.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
42%Auto Quest oddsMissed34%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed