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Red232
5096121.0
6421131.3
6670107.9
Blue330
706124.8
6223105.5
2202170.2
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2833150100200400500600700232330

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6421
#32
131.314.7
86.1100.8
Auto14.8
Teleop102.2
End12.4
blue by 38.9
170.21.2
155.9157.2
Auto18.9
Teleop122.9
End32.9
Second
5096
#30
121.015.5
79.394.7
Auto14.8
Teleop94.0
End15.9
blue by 3.8
706
#27
124.80.2
128.6128.5
Auto16.4
Teleop93.8
End17.6
Third
6670
#41
107.916.9
66.183.0
Auto15.0
Teleop86.4
End10.4
red by 2.4
6223
#42
105.517.2
64.281.3
Auto14.3
Teleop81.0
End8.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsMissed33%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed