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Red203
6223105.5
5586110.1
7103135.5
Blue332
111156.1
1716108.5
3418136.4
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2113490100300400500600203332

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7103
#34
135.56.4
99.7106.1
Auto18.5
Teleop104.6
End14.2
blue by 20.6
111
#13
156.16.1
129.9136.0
Auto17.7
Teleop120.5
End19.6
Second
5586
#46
110.12.6
106.3108.9
Auto16.5
Teleop87.3
End3.0
blue by 26.4
3418
#24
136.41.5
122.2123.7
Auto18.7
Teleop102.5
End14.5
Third
6223
#42
105.52.5
98.9101.4
Auto14.3
Teleop81.0
End8.7
blue by 2.9
1716
#39
108.54.6
105.2109.8
Auto12.3
Teleop81.7
End18.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
23%Auto Quest oddsEarned32%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed