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Qual 362018 Wisconsin Regional
Red380
3692130.9
1732159.2
4786151.8
Blue311
3381128.1
6624115.0
1675156.9
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3622950100200400500600380311

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1732
#23
159.20.4
158.0→157.7
Auto24.6
Teleop116.3
End17.7
red by 2.3
1675
#20
156.92.1
141.4→143.5
Auto18.9
Teleop115.1
End22.4
Second
4786
#15
151.81.3
141.3→142.6
Auto19.6
Teleop114.1
End17.2
red by 23.7
3381
#37
128.13.9
117.2→121.1
Auto18.4
Teleop99.6
End9.1
Third
3692
#5
130.92.1
118.1→120.2
Auto19.5
Teleop96.5
End15.2
red by 15.9
6624
#53
115.05.6
105.7→111.3
Auto16.7
Teleop84.7
End12.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
88%Auto Quest oddsEarned34%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed