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Red120
1259188.9
6807100.8
6574116.4
Blue397
2481212.9
6651109.1
1091141.4
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2203550100300400500120397

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
188.91.1
179.3180.4
Auto22.0
Teleop138.4
End29.2
blue by 24.0
212.90.2
200.8200.9
Auto24.2
Teleop168.8
End20.7
Second
6574
#25
116.42.4
106.1108.5
Auto18.1
Teleop88.0
End12.4
blue by 25.0
1091
#33
141.43.4
127.3130.7
Auto19.2
Teleop104.1
End20.3
Third
6807
#51
100.81.6
95.096.6
Auto13.6
Teleop75.7
End10.8
blue by 8.4
6651
#36
109.11.1
110.2109.1
Auto16.6
Teleop83.1
End10.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
44%Auto Quest oddsMissed20%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
11%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed