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Red152
269144.7
3081117.1
6421131.3
Blue363
3130166.4
1792152.5
537108.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions307297100200400500152363

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
269
#11
144.70.7
128.6129.3
Auto18.4
Teleop105.7
End20.8
blue by 21.7
166.40.9
157.0157.9
Auto21.0
Teleop124.8
End21.0
Second
6421
#32
131.34.8
123.8128.7
Auto14.8
Teleop102.2
End12.4
blue by 21.1
152.51.4
138.7140.1
Auto21.9
Teleop114.9
End19.1
Third
3081
#31
117.14.2
116.2120.4
Auto14.0
Teleop91.5
End14.9
red by 8.3
537
#54
108.81.2
108.3109.5
Auto14.4
Teleop81.5
End14.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsMissed49%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed