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Qual 392018 Wisconsin Regional
Red313
2194157.9
5148128.6
5096121.0
Blue317
1781130.3
2830132.7
279140.1
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions339251100200300400500600313317

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2194
#21
157.96.2
134.9→141.1
Auto24.0
Teleop117.8
End13.8
red by 17.9
279
#14
140.10.9
132.7→133.6
Auto18.6
Teleop106.5
End13.0
Second
5148
#40
128.63.7
120.1→123.8
Auto15.5
Teleop97.5
End14.2
blue by 4.1
2830
#26
132.71.4
122.0→123.4
Auto15.6
Teleop109.9
End9.3
Third
5096
#30
121.02.8
115.6→118.4
Auto14.8
Teleop94.0
End15.9
blue by 9.3
1781
#22
130.31.0
114.9→115.9
Auto18.6
Teleop96.9
End15.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
47%Auto Quest oddsEarned59%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed