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Qual 442018 Wisconsin Regional
Red343
3692130.9
2574123.5
1259188.9
Blue205
6643101.7
2202170.2
4296139.9
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions341306100200400500600343205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1259
#1
188.90.0
180.4→180.4
Auto22.0
Teleop138.4
End29.2
red by 18.6
2202
#3
170.22.0
159.2→161.1
Auto18.9
Teleop122.9
End32.9
Second
3692
#5
130.91.9
120.2→122.1
Auto19.5
Teleop96.5
End15.2
blue by 8.9
4296
#7
139.91.4
131.1→132.5
Auto18.8
Teleop101.8
End22.1
Third
2574
#52
123.50.0
118.0→118.1
Auto16.1
Teleop90.7
End16.9
red by 21.9
6643
#47
101.71.5
103.6→105.1
Auto12.5
Teleop78.1
End11.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
53%Auto Quest oddsEarned33%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
10%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed