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Red100
111156.1
6624115.0
6223105.5
Blue465
1108134.5
2481212.9
3381128.1
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1943960100300500100465

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111
#13
156.14.1
136.0140.1
Auto17.7
Teleop120.5
End19.6
blue by 56.7
212.90.6
200.9201.5
Auto24.2
Teleop168.8
End20.7
Second
6624
#53
115.04.0
111.3115.4
Auto16.7
Teleop84.7
End12.9
blue by 19.5
1108
#18
134.50.8
129.6130.4
Auto21.3
Teleop101.0
End13.2
Third
6223
#42
105.50.9
101.4102.3
Auto14.3
Teleop81.0
End8.7
blue by 22.6
3381
#37
128.12.9
121.1124.0
Auto18.4
Teleop99.6
End9.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest oddsMissed69%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed