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Red241
1091141.4
323145.8
5976142.2
Blue268
1792152.5
3692130.9
2194157.9
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions341306100200400500600241268

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
323
#9
145.82.2
136.9139.1
Auto19.6
Teleop111.5
End14.1
blue by 12.2
2194
#21
157.94.9
141.1146.0
Auto24.0
Teleop117.8
End13.8
Second
5976
#12
142.24.4
135.9140.3
Auto21.7
Teleop106.5
End15.6
blue by 10.3
152.51.7
140.1141.8
Auto21.9
Teleop114.9
End19.1
Third
1091
#33
141.43.5
130.7134.2
Auto19.2
Teleop104.1
End20.3
red by 10.5
130.91.9
122.1124.0
Auto19.5
Teleop96.5
End15.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
65%Auto Quest oddsEarned76%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed