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Red224
6670107.9
6624115.0
2506114.5
Blue437
7103135.5
4296139.9
269144.7
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions259319150200300350400450224437

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6624
#53
115.01.0
115.4116.3
Auto16.7
Teleop84.7
End12.9
blue by 29.6
269
#11
144.71.5
129.3127.8
Auto18.4
Teleop105.7
End20.8
Second
2506
#48
114.51.7
109.1110.8
Auto16.0
Teleop87.1
End11.5
blue by 25.4
139.90.8
132.5133.3
Auto18.8
Teleop101.8
End22.1
Third
6670
#41
107.91.0
104.6103.6
Auto15.0
Teleop86.4
End10.4
blue by 27.6
7103
#34
135.54.6
109.7114.3
Auto18.5
Teleop104.6
End14.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
25%Auto Quest oddsMissed53%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed