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Red139
1716108.5
1108134.5
3081117.1
Blue429
1259188.9
3197167.0
4247125.8
6%Model gave it94%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2233750100300500139429

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1108
#18
134.51.4
130.4131.8
Auto21.3
Teleop101.0
End13.2
blue by 54.3
188.90.4
180.4180.8
Auto22.0
Teleop138.4
End29.2
Second
3081
#31
117.10.7
120.4121.1
Auto14.0
Teleop91.5
End14.9
blue by 49.9
167.01.8
153.2155.0
Auto22.8
Teleop120.0
End25.7
Third
1716
#39
108.50.6
112.9113.5
Auto12.3
Teleop81.7
End18.1
blue by 17.4
4247
#17
125.81.3
106.1107.4
Auto15.6
Teleop99.0
End15.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
44%Auto Quest oddsMissed80%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed9%Face the Boss oddsMissed