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Qual 642018 Wisconsin Regional
Red325
930146.9
5855127.8
6381115.2
Blue196
3596118.8
5096121.0
3081117.1
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions288269100150200250350400450325196

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
930
#28
146.93.9
136.4→140.2
Auto18.7
Teleop109.2
End16.5
red by 26.0
5096
#30
121.00.1
120.9→120.8
Auto14.8
Teleop94.0
End15.9
Second
5855
#38
127.80.3
127.1→126.8
Auto14.2
Teleop99.8
End11.8
red by 8.9
3596
#19
118.81.7
117.7→119.4
Auto17.4
Teleop93.8
End7.4
Third
6381
#55
115.23.2
123.1→119.9
Auto14.4
Teleop87.6
End11.8
blue by 1.9
3081
#31
117.10.9
121.1→120.2
Auto14.0
Teleop91.5
End14.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
15%Auto Quest oddsEarned36%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed