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Qual 652018 Wisconsin Regional
Red268
93166.4
537108.8
1091141.4
Blue390
6643101.7
3197167.0
4786151.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions326304150200250350400450500550268390

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
93
#16
166.42.1
159.6→161.7
Auto19.6
Teleop124.4
End26.6
blue by 0.6
3197
#8
167.01.6
157.2→158.8
Auto22.8
Teleop120.0
End25.7
Second
1091
#33
141.43.4
135.3→138.7
Auto19.2
Teleop104.1
End20.3
blue by 10.3
4786
#15
151.81.2
146.4→147.6
Auto19.6
Teleop114.1
End17.2
Third
537
#54
108.81.4
111.2→109.8
Auto14.4
Teleop81.5
End14.8
red by 7.2
6643
#47
101.72.6
103.5→100.9
Auto12.5
Teleop78.1
End11.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
67%Auto Quest oddsMissed84%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed