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Red307
1732159.2
1781130.3
3197167.0
Blue353
6670107.9
111156.1
1259188.9
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3183500100200400500600700307353

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
167.02.2
158.8161.0
Auto22.8
Teleop120.0
End25.7
blue by 21.9
188.90.9
183.6184.5
Auto22.0
Teleop138.4
End29.2
Second
1732
#23
159.20.1
159.0158.9
Auto24.6
Teleop116.3
End17.7
red by 3.1
111
#13
156.12.3
147.2149.5
Auto17.7
Teleop120.5
End19.6
Third
1781
#22
130.33.2
124.8128.0
Auto18.6
Teleop96.9
End15.2
red by 22.4
6670
#41
107.92.0
102.4104.4
Auto15.0
Teleop86.4
End10.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
92%Auto Quest oddsEarned53%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed9%Face the Boss oddsMissed