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Qual 752018 Wisconsin Regional
Red387
3130166.4
7103135.5
6624115.0
Blue174
2077129.0
537108.8
6651109.1
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions363241100200300400500600387174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3130
#2
166.41.0
162.7→163.7
Auto21.0
Teleop124.8
End21.0
red by 37.4
2077
#43
129.03.0
133.8→130.8
Auto17.6
Teleop91.9
End17.7
Second
7103
#34
135.54.2
125.1→129.3
Auto18.5
Teleop104.6
End14.2
red by 26.4
6651
#36
109.10.5
108.1→108.6
Auto16.6
Teleop83.1
End10.3
Third
6624
#53
115.01.6
116.4→114.8
Auto16.7
Teleop84.7
End12.9
red by 6.2
537
#54
108.80.6
109.8→109.2
Auto14.4
Teleop81.5
End14.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
74%Auto Quest oddsMissed19%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed