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Red377
706124.8
323145.8
6643101.7
Blue109
1716108.5
1781130.3
6624115.0
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3122730100200400500600377109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
323
#9
145.81.1
142.2143.3
Auto19.6
Teleop111.5
End14.1
red by 15.5
1781
#22
130.32.3
128.0130.3
Auto18.6
Teleop96.9
End15.2
Second
706
#27
124.80.1
124.2124.1
Auto16.4
Teleop93.8
End17.6
red by 9.8
6624
#53
115.00.2
114.8115.0
Auto16.7
Teleop84.7
End12.9
Third
6643
#47
101.70.7
100.9101.7
Auto12.5
Teleop78.1
End11.0
blue by 6.8
1716
#39
108.50.5
111.0110.4
Auto12.3
Teleop81.7
End18.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
44%Auto Quest oddsEarned44%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed