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Red229
1714122.1
1091141.4
1108134.5
Blue367
5096121.0
2039122.9
3130166.4
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions291318100200400500229367

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1091
#33
141.40.3
141.1141.4
Auto19.2
Teleop104.1
End20.3
blue by 25.0
166.41.4
163.7165.2
Auto21.0
Teleop124.8
End21.0
Second
1108
#18
134.51.1
133.4134.5
Auto21.3
Teleop101.0
End13.2
red by 11.7
2039
#35
122.94.8
127.6122.9
Auto16.6
Teleop89.0
End14.1
Third
1714
#49
122.10.8
123.7122.9
Auto16.7
Teleop91.1
End13.8
red by 1.1
5096
#30
121.01.4
119.6121.0
Auto14.8
Teleop94.0
End15.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
68%Auto Quest oddsMissed42%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed