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Qual 852018 Wisconsin Regional
Red244
4786151.8
4247125.8
63166.4
Blue472
1259188.9
2062120.4
7103135.5
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions351326150200250300400450500550244472

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63
#10
166.42.3
162.4→164.7
Auto18.2
Teleop121.0
End30.0
blue by 22.5
1259
#1
188.91.2
184.5→185.7
Auto22.0
Teleop138.4
End29.2
Second
4786
#15
151.81.2
149.4→150.6
Auto19.6
Teleop114.1
End17.2
red by 16.3
7103
#34
135.53.9
129.3→133.2
Auto18.5
Teleop104.6
End14.2
Third
4247
#17
125.84.9
118.6→123.5
Auto15.6
Teleop99.0
End15.2
red by 5.5
2062
#45
120.40.4
120.7→120.4
Auto16.2
Teleop90.6
End12.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
83%Auto Quest oddsEarned59%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed