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Qual 862018 Wisconsin Regional
Red212
6807100.8
930146.9
6651109.1
Blue332
3381128.1
6670107.9
2202170.2
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2543410100200300400500600212332

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
930
#28
146.91.0
146.1→147.0
Auto18.7
Teleop109.2
End16.5
blue by 23.3
2202
#3
170.21.9
166.3→168.3
Auto18.9
Teleop122.9
End32.9
Second
6651
#36
109.10.5
108.6→109.1
Auto16.6
Teleop83.1
End10.3
blue by 19.0
3381
#37
128.10.7
128.7→128.1
Auto18.4
Teleop99.6
End9.1
Third
6807
#51
100.81.2
99.5→100.8
Auto13.6
Teleop75.7
End10.8
blue by 7.1
6670
#41
107.91.2
106.7→107.9
Auto15.0
Teleop86.4
End10.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
37%Auto Quest oddsMissed60%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed