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Red400
4085151.4
677138.5
4145174.4
Blue279
7274128.9
7165131.1
3504151.5
75%Model gave it25%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3782810100200500600700400279

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
174.40.1
175.1175.0
Auto21.5
Teleop134.1
End15.9
red by 22.9
3504
#12
151.50.0
151.4151.5
Auto21.0
Teleop112.0
End16.3
Second
151.40.4
149.9150.2
Auto17.4
Teleop116.5
End18.2
red by 20.3
131.10.3
130.5130.8
Auto17.6
Teleop96.3
End16.8
Third
677
#22
138.50.1
138.2138.3
Auto20.2
Teleop99.1
End19.2
red by 9.6
7274
#16
128.90.4
128.2128.5
Auto17.8
Teleop97.0
End14.4