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Red413
3324132.2
4028199.9
379190.0
Blue272
4085151.4
677138.5
4145174.4
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions398300100200500600700413272

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
199.90.2
199.3199.5
Auto21.1
Teleop145.7
End31.2
red by 25.5
174.40.1
174.6174.4
Auto21.5
Teleop134.1
End15.9
Second
379
#1
190.00.0
189.9189.9
Auto23.2
Teleop138.8
End28.0
red by 38.6
151.40.3
151.2151.4
Auto17.4
Teleop116.5
End18.2
Third
3324
#26
132.20.4
133.2132.8
Auto17.7
Teleop98.1
End12.5
blue by 6.4
677
#22
138.50.0
138.5138.5
Auto20.2
Teleop99.1
End19.2