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Red308
4085151.4
3777121.6
48144.3
Blue42
1014156.1
3324132.2
279132.5
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3233375015020025030040045030842

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
151.41.3
144.7146.0
Auto17.4
Teleop116.5
End18.2
blue by 4.7
1014
#19
156.10.7
158.3159.0
Auto19.0
Teleop117.1
End17.6
Second
48
#18
144.30.4
141.5141.9
Auto22.0
Teleop110.4
End12.8
red by 11.9
279
#32
132.50.2
140.1140.3
Auto18.9
Teleop102.6
End6.2
Third
3777
#20
121.60.4
120.3120.6
Auto16.9
Teleop89.4
End15.3
blue by 10.5
3324
#26
132.20.1
138.0138.1
Auto17.7
Teleop98.1
End12.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
75%Auto Quest oddsMissed79%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed11%Face the Boss oddsMissed