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Red280
677138.5
6834103.6
3260146.5
Blue299
4145174.4
6027144.4
6936126.8
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions259385100200300500600280299

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3260
#28
146.50.3
145.7146.0
Auto17.0
Teleop110.5
End17.6
blue by 27.9
174.40.1
176.4176.5
Auto21.5
Teleop134.1
End15.9
Second
677
#22
138.51.0
135.8136.8
Auto20.2
Teleop99.1
End19.2
blue by 5.9
144.40.0
144.7144.7
Auto17.8
Teleop108.4
End17.3
Third
6834
#31
103.60.6
106.3105.7
Auto14.6
Teleop78.2
End6.5
blue by 23.2
6936
#27
126.81.8
122.5124.3
Auto17.4
Teleop85.0
End25.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsEarned90%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed13%Face the Boss oddsMissed