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Red237
4521141.6
1317148.0
6916119.5
Blue449
4028199.9
5740138.1
2656122.3
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2753710100200400500600237449

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1317
#14
148.01.8
144.1145.9
Auto16.1
Teleop108.4
End24.7
blue by 51.9
199.90.3
193.6194.0
Auto21.1
Teleop145.7
End31.2
Second
4521
#25
141.60.1
142.4142.5
Auto16.0
Teleop104.1
End24.0
red by 3.5
5740
#21
138.10.3
138.5138.3
Auto18.6
Teleop102.4
End14.7
Third
6916
#17
119.50.4
121.2120.8
Auto18.3
Teleop87.5
End13.3
blue by 2.7
2656
#29
122.31.3
124.3123.0
Auto16.8
Teleop95.2
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
74%Auto Quest oddsMissed34%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
10%Face the Boss oddsEarned52%Face the Boss oddsMissed