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Red447
4028199.9
1014156.1
7165131.1
Blue302
4467133.6
677138.5
379190.0
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions381324200250300350400450500550600447302

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4028
#2Sur
199.90.8
194.0194.7
Auto21.1
Teleop145.7
End31.2
red by 9.9
379
#1
190.00.2
189.6189.4
Auto23.2
Teleop138.8
End28.0
Second
1014
#19
156.11.7
159.0157.3
Auto19.0
Teleop117.1
End17.6
red by 17.6
677
#22
138.50.9
136.8137.7
Auto20.2
Teleop99.1
End19.2
Third
131.11.9
124.5126.3
Auto17.6
Teleop96.3
End16.8
blue by 2.5
4467
#24Sur
133.60.7
135.6134.8
Auto18.2
Teleop99.9
End14.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
66%Auto Quest oddsEarned92%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
47%Face the Boss oddsMissed16%Face the Boss oddsEarned