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Red218
4145174.4
4150142.7
120167.9
Blue454
5740138.1
4085151.4
291189.8
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions317364200400500600218454

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
174.40.3
176.5176.2
Auto21.5
Teleop134.1
End15.9
blue by 15.4
291
#13
189.80.4
188.1188.5
Auto23.0
Teleop148.5
End17.3
Second
120
#11
167.90.2
168.6168.8
Auto22.2
Teleop122.2
End23.2
red by 16.4
151.41.1
146.0147.0
Auto17.4
Teleop116.5
End18.2
Third
4150
#30
142.70.3
145.7145.4
Auto16.4
Teleop109.0
End16.9
red by 4.6
5740
#21
138.10.3
138.3138.5
Auto18.6
Teleop102.4
End14.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
89%Auto Quest oddsEarned70%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed13%Face the Boss oddsMissed