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Red239
6964119.1
5811139.8
3777121.6
Blue363
6027144.4
48144.3
4521141.6
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions258359100200300400500600239363

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5811
#10
139.80.3
140.0139.7
Auto15.4
Teleop103.3
End22.9
blue by 4.7
144.40.5
144.7144.2
Auto17.8
Teleop108.4
End17.3
Second
3777
#20
121.60.3
120.6120.9
Auto16.9
Teleop89.4
End15.3
blue by 22.7
48
#18
144.30.3
141.9142.2
Auto22.0
Teleop110.4
End12.8
Third
6964
#23
119.10.4
120.0119.6
Auto18.4
Teleop82.4
End17.1
blue by 22.5
4521
#25
141.60.0
142.5142.5
Auto16.0
Teleop104.1
End24.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
43%Auto Quest oddsMissed82%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss oddsMissed11%Face the Boss oddsMissed