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Red395
3324132.2
7274128.9
3504151.5
Blue273
6936126.8
3260146.5
2656122.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions317318280300320340360395273

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3504
#12
151.51.1
152.2151.1
Auto21.0
Teleop112.0
End16.3
red by 5.0
3260
#28
146.50.3
146.0146.4
Auto17.0
Teleop110.5
End17.6
Second
3324
#26
132.22.1
138.1136.0
Auto17.7
Teleop98.1
End12.5
red by 5.4
6936
#27
126.81.1
124.3125.4
Auto17.4
Teleop85.0
End25.4
Third
7274
#16
128.90.9
125.8126.7
Auto17.8
Teleop97.0
End14.4
red by 6.6
2656
#29
122.30.3
123.0122.7
Auto16.8
Teleop95.2
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
81%Auto Quest oddsEarned21%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed21%Face the Boss oddsMissed