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Red325
7274128.9
6936126.8
120167.9
Blue450
3777121.6
1317148.0
4028199.9
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions287407100200500600325450

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
120
#11
167.90.6
168.8168.2
Auto22.2
Teleop122.2
End23.2
blue by 32.1
199.91.3
194.7196.0
Auto21.1
Teleop145.7
End31.2
Second
7274
#16
128.91.5
126.7128.2
Auto17.8
Teleop97.0
End14.4
blue by 19.1
1317
#14
148.00.3
147.2147.4
Auto16.1
Teleop108.4
End24.7
Third
6936
#27
126.80.7
125.4126.1
Auto17.4
Teleop85.0
End25.4
red by 5.2
3777
#20
121.60.0
120.9121.0
Auto16.9
Teleop89.4
End15.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
76%Auto Quest oddsEarned60%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
24%Face the Boss oddsMissed28%Face the Boss oddsEarned