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Red156
279132.5
2252159.5
4521141.6
Blue389
3504151.5
7165131.1
4145174.4
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions315362150200250400450500550156389

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
159.52.3
155.2157.4
Auto19.0
Teleop109.8
End33.2
blue by 14.9
174.41.1
176.2175.1
Auto21.5
Teleop134.1
End15.9
Second
4521
#25
141.60.4
142.5142.8
Auto16.0
Teleop104.1
End24.0
blue by 9.9
3504
#12
151.50.1
151.1151.1
Auto21.0
Teleop112.0
End16.3
Third
279
#32
132.52.3
138.3136.0
Auto18.9
Teleop102.6
End6.2
red by 1.4
131.12.1
126.3128.4
Auto17.6
Teleop96.3
End16.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
71%Auto Quest oddsMissed91%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
24%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed