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Red185
4505133.9
9999101.2
2614211.8
Blue295
4575123.7
686114.7
4265175.7
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34329402004006008001,000185295

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
211.80.0
211.8211.8
Auto24.1
Teleop161.7
End25.3
red by 36.2
175.70.0
175.7175.7
Auto21.6
Teleop132.4
End17.2
Second
4505
#10
133.90.0
133.9133.9
Auto16.4
Teleop105.1
End13.1
red by 10.2
4575
#23
123.70.0
123.7123.7
Auto17.1
Teleop98.3
End12.3
Third
9999
#22
101.20.0
101.2101.2
Auto13.6
Teleop78.5
End7.4
blue by 13.5
686
#14
114.70.0
114.7114.7
Auto20.0
Teleop88.2
End9.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
79%Auto Quest odds75%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss odds3%Face the Boss odds