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Red277
179207.5
4462146.5
4467130.8
Blue337
2655176.8
3492154.9
5740138.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36533802006008001,000277337

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
179
#1
207.50.0
207.5207.5
Auto21.3
Teleop144.3
End40.3
red by 30.7
176.80.0
176.8176.8
Auto23.8
Teleop135.1
End18.1
Second
4462
#18
146.50.0
146.5146.5
Auto23.0
Teleop101.2
End25.5
blue by 8.4
3492
#24
154.90.0
154.9154.9
Auto18.7
Teleop114.1
End23.5
Third
4467
#19
130.80.0
130.8130.8
Auto18.5
Teleop98.8
End12.8
blue by 7.3
5740
#12
138.10.0
138.1138.1
Auto18.6
Teleop102.4
End14.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
80%Auto Quest odds92%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
49%Face the Boss odds18%Face the Boss odds