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Red100
2656108.0
4575123.7
3260146.5
Blue422
9999101.2
1732153.1
1629215.1
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20740306008001,000100422

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3260
#21
146.50.0
146.5146.5
Auto17.0
Teleop110.5
End17.6
blue by 68.7
215.10.0
215.1215.1
Auto25.5
Teleop162.3
End25.8
Second
4575
#23
123.70.0
123.7123.7
Auto17.1
Teleop98.3
End12.3
blue by 29.5
153.10.0
153.1153.1
Auto23.4
Teleop117.7
End9.3
Third
2656
#16
108.00.0
108.0108.0
Auto16.1
Teleop84.9
End7.2
red by 6.9
9999
#22
101.20.0
101.2101.2
Auto13.6
Teleop78.5
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
20%Auto Quest odds90%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss odds6%Face the Boss odds