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Red276
910560.1
5453163.7
5516121.3
Blue429
908460.1
530891.1
6970126.5
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3591900100300400500600700276429

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5453
Unranked
163.70.0
163.7163.7
Auto18.2
Teleop130.4
End15.7
red by 37.2
6970
Unranked
126.50.0
126.5126.5
Auto17.5
Teleop99.4
End10.3
Second
5516
Unranked
121.30.0
121.3121.3
Auto18.6
Teleop95.2
End8.1
red by 30.2
5308
Unranked
91.10.0
91.191.1
Auto12.9
Teleop73.8
End3.3
Third
9105
Unranked
60.10.0
60.160.1
Auto5.0
Teleop45.2
End9.9
Level
9084
Unranked
60.10.0
60.160.1
Auto5.0
Teleop45.2
End9.9