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Red257
694089.9
5453163.7
5516121.3
Blue223
908460.1
530891.1
6970126.5
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3362010100400500600700800257223

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5453
Unranked
163.70.0
163.7163.7
Auto18.2
Teleop130.4
End15.7
red by 37.2
6970
Unranked
126.50.0
126.5126.5
Auto17.5
Teleop99.4
End10.3
Second
5516
Unranked
121.30.0
121.3121.3
Auto18.6
Teleop95.2
End8.1
red by 30.2
5308
Unranked
91.10.0
91.191.1
Auto12.9
Teleop73.8
End3.3
Third
6940
Unranked
89.90.0
89.989.9
Auto13.5
Teleop71.4
End6.5
red by 29.8
9084
Unranked
60.10.0
60.160.1
Auto5.0
Teleop45.2
End9.9