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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2413020400600800269226

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5522
#38
146.50.0
146.5146.5
Auto19.3
Teleop111.8
End13.3
blue by 21.5
168.00.0
168.0168.0
Auto19.6
Teleop130.5
End13.2
Second
5445
#23
87.70.0
87.787.7
Auto15.5
Teleop69.9
End3.2
blue by 5.1
7238
#48
92.90.0
92.992.9
Auto12.0
Teleop78.2
End1.2
Third
9101
#52
60.10.0
60.160.1
Auto5.0
Teleop45.2
End9.9
blue by 0.9
5306
#50
61.10.0
61.161.1
Auto5.1
Teleop45.9
End10.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
16%Auto Quest odds29%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss odds3%Face the Boss odds