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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3262810200400600800243304

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1595
#22
147.40.0
147.4147.4
Auto18.5
Teleop106.9
End23.5
blue by 22.1
2826
#16
169.50.0
169.5169.5
Auto19.4
Teleop124.7
End26.2
Second
5451
#12
124.80.0
124.8124.8
Auto19.3
Teleop103.4
End2.1
red by 24.8
100.00.0
100.0100.0
Auto14.9
Teleop80.5
End5.6
Third
5516
#42
121.30.0
121.3121.3
Auto18.6
Teleop95.2
End8.1
red by 61.2
9084
#14
60.10.0
60.160.1
Auto5.0
Teleop45.2
End9.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
34%Auto Quest odds29%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss odds11%Face the Boss odds