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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4031670100300500600700800446190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
210.10.0
210.1210.1
Auto24.7
Teleop156.0
End27.9
red by 83.6
6970
#30
126.50.0
126.5126.5
Auto17.5
Teleop99.4
End10.3
Second
140.50.0
140.5140.5
Auto18.6
Teleop105.5
End16.7
red by 47.1
6433
#31
93.40.0
93.493.4
Auto15.7
Teleop73.6
End3.9
Third
9084
#14
60.10.0
60.160.1
Auto5.0
Teleop45.2
End9.9
Level
9106
#20
60.10.0
60.160.1
Auto5.0
Teleop45.2
End9.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
69%Auto Quest odds37%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss odds3%Face the Boss odds