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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2393260400600800280444

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#5
189.20.0
189.2189.2
Auto21.8
Teleop141.9
End20.3
blue by 23.6
694
#2
212.80.0
212.8212.8
Auto22.0
Teleop163.8
End27.9
Second
6940
#19
89.90.0
89.989.9
Auto13.5
Teleop71.4
End6.5
red by 2.2
5445
#23
87.70.0
87.787.7
Auto15.5
Teleop69.9
End3.2
Third
6374
#39
52.20.0
52.252.2
Auto4.3
Teleop39.3
End8.6
blue by 7.9
9107
#36
60.10.0
60.160.1
Auto5.0
Teleop45.2
End9.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
58%Auto Quest odds52%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
11%Face the Boss odds6%Face the Boss odds