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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1853630100300400500600700800177378

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6949
#47
114.50.0
114.5114.5
Auto16.8
Teleop85.6
End14.2
blue by 74.7
359
#5
189.20.0
189.2189.2
Auto21.8
Teleop141.9
End20.3
Second
5445
#23
87.70.0
87.787.7
Auto15.5
Teleop69.9
End3.2
blue by 53.6
141.30.0
141.3141.3
Auto17.5
Teleop105.4
End21.5
Third
9103
#37
60.10.0
60.160.1
Auto5.0
Teleop45.2
End9.9
blue by 31.0
5308
#28
91.10.0
91.191.1
Auto12.9
Teleop73.8
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
34%Auto Quest odds79%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss odds11%Face the Boss odds