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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2942700100200400500600700159447

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2826
#16
169.50.0
169.5169.5
Auto19.4
Teleop124.7
End26.2
red by 28.9
140.50.0
140.5140.5
Auto18.6
Teleop105.5
End16.7
Second
7238
#48
92.90.0
92.992.9
Auto12.0
Teleop78.2
End1.2
blue by 33.6
6970
#30
126.50.0
126.5126.5
Auto17.5
Teleop99.4
End10.3
Third
9102
#40
60.10.0
60.160.1
Auto5.0
Teleop45.2
End9.9
red by 7.9
6374
#39
52.20.0
52.252.2
Auto4.3
Teleop39.3
End8.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
27%Auto Quest odds39%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
10%Face the Boss odds2%Face the Boss odds