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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1195110200300400600700800121437

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7002
#32
107.40.0
107.4107.4
Auto14.8
Teleop86.1
End11.1
blue by 144.7
252.10.0
252.1252.1
Auto29.0
Teleop173.2
End48.1
Second
6986
#41
106.10.0
106.1106.1
Auto13.7
Teleop85.9
End7.7
blue by 79.7
66
#26
185.80.0
185.8185.8
Auto22.7
Teleop145.1
End16.0
Third
6940
#19
89.90.0
89.989.9
Auto13.5
Teleop71.4
End6.5
blue by 57.5
1595
#22
147.40.0
147.4147.4
Auto18.5
Teleop106.9
End23.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
10%Auto Quest odds94%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss odds85%Face the Boss odds